Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003247 0.003566 0.003907 0.004299 0.004736 0.005212 0.005768
2026-01-25 0.002674 0.003115 0.003619 0.004241 0.004989 0.005867 0.006982
2026-02-01 0.002371 0.002874 0.003476 0.004255 0.005245 0.006471 0.008123
2026-02-08 0.002123 0.002654 0.003313 0.004201 0.005377 0.006901 0.009057
2026-02-15 0.001914 0.002456 0.003149 0.004112 0.005436 0.007220 0.009852
2026-02-22 0.001785 0.002343 0.003079 0.004132 0.005630 0.007721 0.010935
2026-03-01 0.001706 0.002290 0.003078 0.004241 0.005947 0.008414 0.012359
2026-03-08 0.001581 0.002161 0.002962 0.004171 0.005994 0.008711 0.013207
2026-03-15 0.001469 0.002041 0.002847 0.004091 0.006014 0.008961 0.013998
2026-03-22 0.001385 0.001955 0.002774 0.004064 0.006109 0.009329 0.015010
2026-03-29 0.001329 0.001905 0.002748 0.004106 0.006311 0.009880 0.016382
2026-04-05 0.001253 0.001821 0.002665 0.004050 0.006348 0.010159 0.017306
2026-04-12 0.001183 0.001744 0.002593 0.004013 0.006423 0.010528 0.018470
2026-04-19 0.001115 0.001666 0.002513 0.003959 0.006468 0.010852 0.019598
2026-04-26 0.001068 0.001617 0.002477 0.003973 0.006628 0.011390 0.021203
2026-05-03 0.001011 0.001551 0.002407 0.003923 0.006669 0.011714 0.022415
2026-05-10 0.000953 0.001478 0.002322 0.003841 0.006644 0.011908 0.023383
2026-05-17 0.000919 0.001442 0.002296 0.003859 0.006805 0.012473 0.025211
2026-05-24 0.000902 0.001434 0.002316 0.003960 0.007128 0.013390 0.027937
2026-05-31 0.000857 0.001376 0.002248 0.003895 0.007125 0.013642 0.029184
2026-06-07 0.000815 0.001320 0.002177 0.003821 0.007098 0.013840 0.030326
2026-06-14 0.000783 0.001280 0.002135 0.003797 0.007167 0.014249 0.032037
2026-06-21 0.000762 0.001260 0.002126 0.003835 0.007369 0.014964 0.034615